Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Week 8 Rankings

So for my first post I will be critiquing ESPN.com Week 8's Fantasy Football Rankings. Here are their QB rankings. For the most part I agree with their rankings for the Quarterback position heading into week 8. They did not include Cam Newton or Mike Glennon because Carolina and Tampa Bay played one another on Thursday Night Football. Cam Newton put up very solid numbers and is looking like a top 3 QB this week. They did disagree with me in terms of where we decided to rank Russell Wilson. They put him at the #7 spot where as I have him ranked 7 spots lower at 14th. He is facing a Rams team on MNF who are fighting for their playoff lives so I expect their defense come ready to play. Once Percy Harvin returns for the Seahawks, Wilson should be a lock Top 10 QB weekly. Another area where we disagreed was in the top 5 spots. I agree that Peyton is likely to be the #1 QB again this week but I have Brees at the 2 spot followed by RGIII, Rodgers, and Romo. I wouldn't be surprised if Brees does better than Manning this week playing at home against Buffalo. Rodgers is ranked 4th for me because I feel like Green Bay is set up for a trap game Sunday Night in Minnesota. Rodgers will be without Randall Cobb, Jermichael Finley, and James Jones. The Vikings will be at home and they may be able to tame Rodgers to under 20 fantasy points. I have Stafford dropped down 3 spots at 7 simply because I think the Lions will lose to the Cowboys and Romo having the bigger fantasy day. A couple of sleeper QB's I like are Matt Ryan and Carson Palmer who play each other this week. I think that this match-up could be high scoring with each QB throwing the ball at least 40 times. 
RankNameTeamOpp.
Berry

Harris

Karabell

Cockcroft
Avg.
1Peyton ManningDENWsh11111.0
2Aaron RodgersGB@Min22332.5
2Drew BreesNOBuf33222.5
4Matthew StaffordDETDal45544.5
4Robert Griffin IIIWSH@Den54454.5
6Tony RomoDAL@Det69677.0
7Russell WilsonSEA@StL77787.3
7Matt RyanATL@Ari96867.3
9Colin KaepernickSF@Jac88998.5
10Michael VickPHINYG1010111010.3
11Tom BradyNEMia1111101110.8
12Eli ManningNYG@Phi1415121213.3
13Ben RoethlisbergerPIT@Oak1312131713.8
13Terrelle PryorOAKPit1213161413.8
15Andy DaltonCINNYJ1614151314.5
16Alex SmithKCCle1516141615.3
17Carson PalmerARIAtl1717191517.0
18Geno SmithNYJ@Cin1818181818.0
19Ryan TannehillMIA@NE1919171918.5
20Chad HenneJACSF2220202020.5
21Thad LewisBUF@NO2021212120.8
22Christian PonderMINGB2123222222.0
23Jason CampbellCLE@KC2322232423.0
24Kellen ClemensSTLSea2424242323.8

Now on to the RB position. Below are ESPN's top 30 rankings. The top 10 RB's for ESPN and my own rankings are very similar. I agreed with Berry and Harris that Marshawn Lynch is the top ranked RB for week 8 facing a poor defensive team in St. Louis. I don't like how high they have Knowshon ranked so I put him at the 7 spot. I don't fully trust him yet because of the 3 backfield committee that Denver uses. I like Reggie Bush this week to rake in the yards through the ground and air so I have him ranked #5. I like Stevan Ridley this week as well as Lamar Miller. I would stay away from Steven Jackson even though ESPN ranks him 19th. You just don't know how healthy this guy is going to be so I wouldn't expect more than 20 carries. Plus Jacquizz Rodgers is a better passing down back and has been great in his absence. I would expect that they split carries while Rodgers gets the downs on passing plays. I also don't like Darren McFadden as he is returning from injury. A couple sleeper guys I like to have a potential big week are Lamar Miller, Andre Ellington, and Peyton Hillis.

RankNameTeamOpp.
Berry

Harris

Karabell

Cockcroft
Avg.
1Jamaal CharlesKCCle22111.5
2Marshawn LynchSEA@StL11242.0
3LeSean McCoyPHINYG64424.0
3Knowshon MorenoDENWsh55334.0
5Adrian PetersonMINGB43554.3
6Frank GoreSF@Jac36765.5
7Reggie BushDETDal107677.5
8Eddie LacyGB@Min78887.8
9Fred JacksonBUF@NO8101099.3
10Alfred MorrisWSH@Den11991110.0
11Le'Veon BellPIT@Oak912131211.5
12Stevan RidleyNEMia1214121012.0
13Darren SprolesNOBuf1613111313.3
14Darren McFaddenOAKPit1411161413.8
15DeMarco MurrayDAL@Det1315141514.3
16Giovani BernardCINNYJ1517151615.8
17Zac StacySTLSea1719191718.0
18Maurice Jones-DrewJACSF1918171918.3
19Steven JacksonATL@Ari1816212119.0
20Chris IvoryNYJ@Cin2021202421.3
21Lamar MillerMIA@NE2424221822.0
22Pierre ThomasNOBuf2120272322.8
23BenJarvus Green-EllisCINNYJ2625232023.5
24Andre EllingtonARIAtl2322282223.8
25Roy HeluWSH@Den2223303226.8
26Jacquizz RodgersATL@Ari2530242927.0
27Willis McGaheeCLE@KC2929252727.5
28Joique BellDETDal2827352528.8
29Bilal PowellNYJ@Cin3326292829.0
30Peyton HillisNYG@Phi3128322629.3
Next up, Wide Receivers. The deepest fantasy position is for sure the WR spot so not having a top 10 WR isn't going to kill you in fantasy. ESPN continues to rank Calvin Johnson #1 but once again I don't seem him outperforming Dez. Dez all week has been saying that he can do anything Calvin can so I expect him to back it up on the field on Sunday while their playing one another. Jordy Nelson could have a big week with all the Green Bay injuries he becomes Aaron Rodgers most reliable guy. I also think that Wes Welker begins to slow down. He is the definition of a gamble in fantasy football because the Broncos have so many red zone targets I would expect his TD's to decrease. I also don't like Eric Decker this week because of the uncertainty of who will be getting the ball. I think that DeSean Jackson and Victor Cruz may both have huge games as their teams face one another. I've been all aboard the Antonio Brown bandwagon all season long and have him ranked in the top 10 this week which ESPN does not. Larry Fitzgerald could have a huge day against Atlanta. Sleeper picks are Harry Douglas, Terrance Williams, and Brian Hartline. I don't like ESPN's rank of Mike Wallace at all. If Aqib Talib is playing then I would not recommend starting Wallace. Wallace is already one of the streakiest WR's in the league so his value this week drops significantly if Talib plays.

RankNameTeamOpp.
Berry

Harris

Karabell

Cockcroft
Avg.
1Calvin JohnsonDETDal11211.3
2Dez BryantDAL@Det22152.5
3A.J. GreenCINNYJ53444.0
4Jordy NelsonGB@Min46624.5
5Demaryius ThomasDENWsh35395.0
6Wes WelkerDENWsh64575.5
7Victor CruzNYG@Phi108737.0
8DeSean JacksonPHINYG87967.5
9Pierre GarconWSH@Den991189.3
10Eric DeckerDENWsh7108149.8
11Antonio BrownPIT@Oak1411101011.3
12Larry FitzgeraldARIAtl1112151112.3
13Marques ColstonNOBuf1215131313.3
14Josh GordonCLE@KC1513142015.5
15Anquan BoldinSF@Jac1620121515.8
16Justin BlackmonJACSF1917201217.0
17Harry DouglasATL@Ari2019161617.8
18Jarrett BoykinGB@Min1321211918.5
19Danny AmendolaNEMia2114241819.3
20Terrance WilliamsDAL@Det1722192220.0
21Cecil ShortsJACSF1818262321.3
22Mike WallaceMIA@NE2516222522.0
23Hakeem NicksNYG@Phi3324171722.8
24Steve JohnsonBUF@NO2625233126.3
24Denarius MooreOAKPit2423283026.3
26Julian EdelmanNEMia2226253326.5
27Michael FloydARIAtl2828272727.5
28Rueben RandleNYG@Phi2927332428.3
29Greg JenningsMINGB3230312128.5
30Jeremy KerleyNYJ@Cin2731294432.8
30Golden TateSEA@StL3038352832.8
30Dwayne BoweKCCle3832322932.8
33Brian HartlineMIA@NE3129304233.0
34Kenbrell ThompkinsNEMia4136373236.5
35Sidney RiceSEA@StL42NR342638.3
35Kris DurhamDETDal3435444038.3
37Emmanuel SandersPIT@Oak4333364739.8
38James JonesGB@MinNRNR18NR42.8
39Rod StreaterOAKPit37NR473743.0
40Riley CooperPHINYG4441434543.3
The very valuable position of Tight Ends is next. This year more than ever I am realizing how valuable a top 5 TE is in Fantasy. If your able to have one you have a significant advantage over other owners who are working the waiver wire weekly to start a TE. The emergence of Julius Thomas, Jordan Cameron, and potentially Jordan Reed have made this position deeper. Vernon Davis ranks as #3 this week who I think is a huge hit or miss TE against the Jaguars. The one guy to keep an eye on is Jordan Reed. After a couple good weeks the third week for him is key to knowing if he will be a top 10 TE guy or one of the waste pickups of the week. Berry (ESPN Expert) ranks Tony Gonzalez 2nd which I wouldn't be surprised if it happened. Atlanta is bound to score points against Arizona and Gonzalez is one of their big red zone threats with Julio Jones done for the year and Roddy White out. Sleeper pick of the week is Jeff Cumberland as he has developed good chemistry with Geno Smith. 

RankNameTeamOpp.
Berry

Harris

Karabell

Cockcroft
Avg.
1Jimmy GrahamNOBuf51112.0
1Rob GronkowskiNEMia12232.0
3Vernon DavisSF@Jac43523.5
4Julius ThomasDENWsh35343.8
5Tony GonzalezATL@Ari26654.8
6Jordan CameronCLE@KC84475.8
7Jason WittenDAL@Det67787.0
8Jordan ReedWSH@Den79867.5
9Heath MillerPIT@Oak989109.0
10Charles ClayMIA@NE10101099.8

Ehhh Kickers and Defenses are up next. Who cares right? Not so fast Jack. Kickers and Defenses are usually taken at the end of drafts whereas RB's, QB's, WR's and TE's are taken in the first couple of rounds. Well If you've been an owner of the Kansas City Chiefs Defense they have outscored every single running back except for Jamaal Charles throughout the year. That's like owning a top 5 RB with there production. ESPN ranks them #1 again this week but has New Orleans in at 7. I like New Orleans to blow Buffalo out this week so there D becomes a top 5 play. New England drops on my board simply because of all their injuries. Sleeper Defense and Kicker this week are Cincinnatti Defense and Matt Bryant. 
RankNameOpp.
Berry

Harris

Karabell

Cockcroft
Avg.
1Kansas City ChiefsCle31111.5
2Seattle Seahawks@StL13222.0
3San Francisco 49ers@Jac22432.8
4Green Bay Packers@Min44354.0
5Cincinnati BengalsNYJ85545.5
6New England PatriotsMia56766.0
7New Orleans SaintsBuf67877.0
8Pittsburgh Steelers@Oak129688.8
9Cleveland Browns@KC1081199.5
10Arizona CardinalsAtl1110131311.8

RankNameTeamOpp.
Berry

Harris

Karabell

Cockcroft
Avg.
1Matt PraterDENWsh11121.3
2Stephen GostkowskiNEMia22211.8
3Mason CrosbyGB@Min44433.8
4Steven HauschkaSEA@StL95345.3
5Garrett HartleyNOBuf83755.8
6Dan BaileyDAL@Det67566.0
7Nick FolkNYJ@Cin568138.0
8Matt BryantATL@Ari3136118.3
9David AkersDETDal128121010.5
10Alex HeneryPHINYG1899710.8
Below are my rankings for Week 8.

QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
1. Peyton Manning
1. Marshawn Lynch
1. Dez Bryant
2. Drew Brees
2. Jamaal Charles
2. Calvin Johnson
3. Robert Griffin III
3. LeSean McCoy
3. Jordy Nelson
4. Aaron Rodgers
4. Adrian Peterson
4. A.J. Green
5. Tony Romo
5. Reggie Bush
5. Demaryius Thomas
6. Michael Vick
6. Frank Gore
6. DeSean Jackson
7. Matthew Stafford
7. Knowshon Moreno
7. Victor Cruz
8. Cam Newton
8. Fred Jackson
8. Wes Welker
9. Colin Kaepernick
9. Eddie Lacy
9. Antonio Brown
10. Matt Ryan
10. Alfred Morris
10. Larry Fitzgerald
11. Tom Brady
11. Stevan Ridley
11. Pierre Garcon
12. Eli Manning
12. Darren Sproles
12. Marques Colston
13. Carson Palmer
13. Le'Veon Bell
13. Justin Blackmon
14. Russell Wilson
14. Giovani Bernard
14. Anquan Boldin
15. Ben Roethlisberger
15. DeMarco Murray
15. Harry Douglas
16. Terrell Pryor
16. Lamar Miller
16. Eric Decker
17. Ryan Tannehill
17. Darren McFadden
17. Josh Gordon
18. Andy Dalton
18. Maurice Jones-Drew
18. Terrance Williams
19. Geno Smith
19. Andre Ellington
19. Steve Johnson
20. Alex Smith
20. Pierre Thomas
20. Hakeem Nicks
21. Thaddeus Lewis
21. BenJarvus Green-Ellis
21. Jarrett Boykin
22. Christian Ponder
22. Chris Ivory
22. Danny Amendola
23. Chad Henne
23. Zac Stacy
23. Cecil Shorts
24. Mike Glennon
24. Steven Jackson
24. Brian Hartline
25. Brandon Weeden
25. Jacquizz Rodgers
25. Julian Edelman










TE Rankings
K Rankings
DEF Rankings
1. Jimmy Graham
1. Matt Prater
1. Kansas City
2. Rob Gronkowski
2. Mason Crosby
2. San Francisco 
3. Julius Thomas
3. Garrett Hartley
3. Seattle
4. Tony Gonzalez
4. Stephen Gostkowski
4. New Orleans
5. Jason Witten
5. Dan Bailey
5. Green Bay
6. Vernon Davis
6. Steven Hauschka
6. Pittsburgh
7. Jordan Reed
7. Matt Bryant
7. New England
8. Jordan Cameron
8. Nick Folk
8. Cincinnatti
9. Charles Clay
9. David Akers
9. Cleveland
10. Jeff Cumberland
10. Ryan Succop
10. NYJ

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